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The Gazette KCRG
Posted December 5, 2011
What’s Ahead Dec. 5: Iowa precinct caucus campaign reset by Cain’s ‘surge and suspend’ decision

Hit the reset button: The series of “surge and fade” candidates that has marked the race for the top prize in the Iowa first-in-the-nation precinct caucuses has been succeeded by Herman Cain’s surge and suspend strategy.

A month ago, Cain was leading the race according to an Iowa State University/Gazette/KCRG-TV 9 pollwith the support of 24.5 percent of the 1,256 registered Iowa voters polled.

Republican presidential candidate former Godfather's Pizza CEO Herman Cain greets audience members during the Thanksgiving Family Forum sponsored by The Family Leader on Nov. 19 in Des Moines. (Charlie Neibergall/AP)

The Iowa Poll released over the weekend showed Cain’s support had plummeted to just 8 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is the new leader with Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney rounding out the top tier.

The Iowa Poll also found that 11 percent of the likely GOP caucusgoers remain undecided and 60 percent say they could change their mind before the Jan. 3 caucuses.

So now race is on for Cain’s supporters. While some of the Georgia businessman’s backers are likely to remain on the Cain Train in hopes this indefinite suspension is lifted before Jan. 3 and does not become a lifetime suspension.

Others are, perhaps, more realistic. Many, according to Steve Grubbs, Cain’s Iowa manager, already have fled to Gingrich.

Ironically, Grubbs, said, the Cain campaign was closing in on 1,000 precinct captains – in indication of still growing support in Iowa.

As Grubbs said in a tweet Sunday night: “Time to recycle 3000 political yard signs. Timing is everything!”

Suspended defined: Although the outcome may be the same, there is a difference between suspending a campaign and dropping out of a race.

Although he’s serving a self-imposed suspension, Cain can continue to raise money and, if he qualifies by raising a certain amount of money from a certain number of people in 20 states, he can qualify for and receive federal matching funds.

But does he get to keep the Secret Service protection.

Shameless self-promotion: In a nugget labeled “Exclusive,” Mike Allen reported in his Politico Playbook Sunday that Texas Gov. Rick Perry will be making a bus tour through Iowa beginning next week.

Seems IowaCaucs.com reported Nov. 29 “Perry (Iowa) chairman Bob Haus said Perry’s wife, Anita, will be in Iowa next week and a December bus tour will be announced soon.”

Read it here.

On the calendar:

Dec. 5

Rick Santorum, 9:30 a.m., town hall, Stoney Creek Inn, Sioux City; 12:30 p.m., town hall, 4 Brother’s Restaurant, Le Mars; 5:30 p.m., Sanborn Winter Gala, Jay’s Restaurant & Lounge, Sanborn; 7:30 p.m., rally, Dordt College Campus Center, Sioux Center

Dec. 6

Rick Santorum, town hall meeting, Lake Shore Cafe, Storm Lake; noon, town hall meeting Pizza Ranch, Spencer

Dec. 7

Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, Republican Jewish Coalition, Washington

Dec. 8

Ron Paul, 1 p.m., employee meeting, Principal Financial Group, Des Moines; 4 p.m. , Boone Public Library; 7 p.m., Youth for Ron Paul, Great Hall, Iowa State Memorial Union, Ames

Dec. 9

Ron Paul, 9 a.m., Webster City Fire Station; 1 p.m., Mason City High; 4 p.m., Waverly Public Library; 7 p.m., Youth for Ron Paul, University of Northern Iowa Maucker Union, Slife Ballroom, Cedar Falls

Dec. 10

Ron Paul, 10 a.m., Fisher Community Center, Marshalltown

Newt Gingrich, 3 p.m., town hall meeting, Drake University

Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Michele Bachmann, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, 8 p.m., Des Moines Register/ABC News/Yahoo!/Republican Party of Iowa live presidential debate, Drake University

Dec. 15

Fox News/ Republican Party of Iowa live presidential debate, Sioux City



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