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The Gazette KCRG
Posted October 31, 2011
What’s Ahead Oct. 31: Bachmann, Cain experience change of fortunes since Iowa Republican straw poll

This combo of file photos shows the candidates on the ballot for the Aug. 13, 2011 Republican straw poll in Iowa. The candidates are, top row from left: Michelle Bachmann, Herman Cain and Newt Gingrich; middle row from left: Jon Huntsman, Thaddeus McCotter and Ron Paul; and bottom row from left: Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. (AP Photo, File)

What’s up, Iowa?

Roughly midway between two iconic Iowa contests on the road to the Republican presidential nomination Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann have reversed roles.

Bachmann, who won the straw poll after entering the race less than two months earlier, and Cain, who finished in single digits in fifth place, have seen their fortunes go in opposite directions.

By conventional wisdom, that shouldn’t be happening. Bachmann has been running the more traditional Iowa caucus campaign — making regular visits to the first-in-the-nation state and building an organization with nearly 70 county chairmen and chairwomen.

Cain has made more visits to Iowa than Bachmann, but only one visit since the straw poll.

Cain, former Godfather’s CEO has made 24 visits to Iowa, according to Democracy in Action Race to the White House (which notes that Cain claims more visits). All but one of those visits was before the Iowa GOP Straw Poll Aug. 13 when he finished fifth. Since then, his only visit was Oct. 22 when he rode the Hawkeye Express from Coralville to Kinnick Stadium to attend see the University of Iowa Hawkeyes host Indiana and then head to Ames to see the Iowa State University Cyclones  take on Texas A&M before speaking at the Iowa Faith & Freedom Coalition Presidential Candidate Forum in Des Moines.

Meanwhile, Bachmann has made nearly 10 visits to Iowa since the straw poll. While Cain’s numbers have been going up, her support has fallen. Bachmann won the straw poll with 28.6 percent of the votes. Cain was fifth with 8.6 percent of the votes cast. Now she’s at 8 percent and Cain is at 23 percent.

Speaking of visits: It will be a busy week in Iowa for the candidates with Rick Santorum leading the way. He’s closing in on his quest to visit all 99 counties. He’ll be in north central and northeastern Iowa today.

So far, it’s only Cain and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney who are not visiting this week. Seems like the National Association of Manufacturers presidential candidate forum in Pella Nov. 1, which will attract Bachmann, Gingrich, Perry, Santorum and Ron Paul, would be a natural for the two businessmen.

Friday night, the action moves to Des Moines where Paul, Perry, Gingrich and Santorum speak at the Iowa GOP Ronald Reagan Dinner.

On the calendar:

Oct. 31

Rick Santorum, 8 a.m., Garner Education Center, Garner; 9:45 a.m., meet-and-greet, Northwood Civic Center, Northwood; 11:15 a.m., meet-and-greet, Osage Public Library; 12:45 p.m., meet-and-greet, Sue Z-Q Restaurant, Cresco; 2 p.m., meet-and-greet, Pizza Ranch, Decorah; 3:30 p.m., meet-and-greet, Gus & Tony’s Pizza and Steakhouse, Waukon; 5:30 p.m., meet-and-greet, New Hampton Public Library

Nov. 1

Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum and Ron Paul will participate in a National Association of Manufacturers forum on manufacturing and job creation Nov. 1 in Pella.

Rick Santorum, 8 a.m., Monarchs Restaurant, Pella; 12:30 p.m., Albia Public Library; 2 p.m., Drake Public Library, Centerville; 3:30 p.m., Oasis Coffee Shop, Bloomfield; 6:45 p.m., Reclaim Iowa Rally, Marshalltown

Ron Paul, meet-and-greet, Smokey Row Coffee House, 109 S. Market St., Oskaloosa, noon; 2 p.m., Bridge View Center, Ottumwa

Rick Perry, 11:50 a.m., Drake Diner, 1111 25th St., Des Moines; 2 p.m., education and economic town hall, Civic Center of Greater Iowa, Stoner Studio Theater, 221 Walnut St., Des Moines

Nov. 2

Rick Santorum, 8 a.m., Copper Lantern, Sigourney; 10 a.m., Java Lounge, Williamsburg; 12:30 p.m., Fairfield Arts & Convention Center, Fairfield; 2 p.m., Village Cup and Cakes, Keosauqua; 4:30 p.m., Ottumwa City Library; 7 p.m., Decker House, Maquoketa

Nov. 3

Rick Santorum, 7 a.m., Ames Conservative Breakfast Club, Pizza Ranch, Ames; 6 p.m., Dallas County GOP Chili Supper, Dallas Fairgrounds, Adel

Michele Bachmann, 6 p.m., Dallas County GOP Chili Supper, Dallas Fairgrounds, Adel

Nov. 4

Rick Santorum, 7 a.m. Young Businessmen’s Breakfast Club, 1800 50th St., West Des Moines

Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, 7 p.m., Republican Party of Iowa Reagan Dinner, Hy-Vee Hall, 730 3rd St., Des Moines

 

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